Contraception Management by STORCH: The Sequential Test for Ovulation Reckoning and Contraception Handling
نویسنده
چکیده
One of the most common methods in natural family planning, the "temperature method", usually is based on a rule of thumb (due to the WHO) in order to determine the moment of temperature rise. We will replace that that fuzzy rule by a clear "yes" or "no" using a statistical method, the Sequential Probability Ratio Tests (SPRT). The resulting simple algorithm is able to detect the rise of temperature with arbitrary security. Additional heuristic improvements allow us to integrate the "Knaus-Ogino" method into our framework. A first application of this STORCH-method to some examples validates our approach and shows in addition that it is at least as "fast" as the WHO rule.
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